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GDP growth for the last three quarters of 2018: 4.2%, 3.4%, 2.2%.

Consensus estimate for 1Q2019: 1.5%.

It sure looks like Trump bought about a quarter and a half of fake "prosperity" with his tax cut and things are continuing to cool off.

Genuinely concerned that he's going to start a war to take people's minds off it if the economy goes into recession.

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